Remember 1948?

Posted 4/11/16

T he feeling has been there for some time that there are quiet voters who plan to vote for Donald Trump, the Republican candidate for president. This is not to say that he will win. But he may make …

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Remember 1948?

Posted

The feeling has been there for some time that there are quiet voters who plan to vote for Donald Trump, the Republican candidate for president. This is not to say that he will win. But he may make the race against Democrat Hillary Clinton much closer than the polls show and predictions by the media.Our thoughts go back to 1948 when one of the most stunning presidential races in American history occurred. That was the year that Democrat Harry Truman scored an upset victory over Tom Dewey, the Republican candidate. Dewey was the favorite of the media. Truman wasn’t given much of a chance. The race was over in many people’s minds. Truman, with not much flash in his steps, campaigned hard and heard were shouts of, “Give them hell, Harry.” They were practically changing the bed sheets in the White House to await the arrival of Dewey.The “them” were Dewey and the Republicans. In 1948, like today, many voters were quiet, didn’t express opinions about the race, but on Election Day they voted for Truman.Yes, conditions were different in 1948 compared to today. We didn’t have the sophisticated polling methods we have today. Today’s polls give Clinton the edge.Truman was considered a hick from Missouri by the Eastern elite. Truman was a dirt farmer, failed retailer, before he entered politics. He was an officer in World War II, saw combat, but he never bragged about it like some candidates do today. He was a good county commissioner and made a name for himself in the U.S. Senate when he headed a committee that investigated graft in defense spending. He was honest, a man of the people. His selection as vice president by Franklin D. Roosevelt was a surprise.In the campaign, both Dewey and Truman campaigned mostly by train “whistle stops,” which included Washington. Schoolchildren were given permission to attend the stops.When the votes were in, Truman won by a substantial majority. Today, while conditions are different, a Trump victory would equal what Truman did. What is the same is that there are many quiet voters this year and we won’t know how they feel until all the votes are counted. Should Hillary be worried? Perhaps.


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